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Opportunity Discovery

Alpha Research

Where is the market mispriced, and what is the tradeable thesis?

A research tier that aggregates Market Matrix, portfolio state, the knowledge graph, prior research, Multiverse scenarios, and valuation into institutional-grade briefs that surface tradeable opportunities with quantitative trade ideas.

Deep research run history - hundreds of completed research runsAlpha theses - tradeable opportunities with supporting evidenceAnthropic pre-IPO alpha research report - executive summaryStructured causal reasoning diagram in the alpha research reportScenario-conditioned revenue mix chart - bull, base, and bearS-1 disclosure predictions table in the alpha research reportTradeable expressions table - instruments, direction, and falsifiers

380+ deep research runs - a continuous research engine

>=3

Sources / claim

adversarial

Verification

graph-pathed

Citations

trade-ready

Output

Role in Sigmance

The opportunity engine. Alpha Research navigates the world graph to surface ranked candidates that cite their graph path, then pressure-tests them into decision-ready theses with explicit entry, risk, and falsification.

Capabilities

Graph Traversal

Walks entities, typed edges, and weights to surface ranked candidates - each citing the graph path that explains the mechanism.

Decision-Ready Briefs

Evidence, claims, contradictions, and quantitative trade ideas with entry, sizing, and risk - institutional-grade output.

Verified Claims

Every claim runs through adversarial verification with provenance and confidence before it informs capital.

Reproducible Runs

Each session spins up an isolated environment - a fully reproducible, self-contained research workspace.

Consumes

  • World graph (Market Matrix)
  • Portfolio state
  • ScenarioRegistry
  • Prior research

Produces

  • Alpha theses
  • Trade ideas
  • Open questions

Game-Theoretic Lens

Hunts edges created by information asymmetry, crowding, and consensus fragility - opportunities other agents have mispriced.

Connected subsystems

The machine is the edge.

Alpha Research is one part of Sigmance - an autonomous, self-evolving system that compounds intelligence into capital decisions. We're opening early access to qualified investors and partners.

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